Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction: Expert Analysis and Match Preview
Mexico did not have the anticipated start to the Copa America 2024 season. Although they commenced with a victory against Jamaica, the group faltered towards Venezuela in their second match, conceding 1-0. They will host Ecuador in a crucial match in which a win is important for both teams to qualify.
Current Standings
- Mexico won one and lost one of their two Copa America matches this season, placing them third in Group B standings.
- Ecuador has also won one and lost one of their two matches, currently sitting second in the same standings.
- All of Mexico’s matches this campaign have had fewer than 2.5 goals.
- Mexico has been unbeaten in seven of their last eight head-to-head clashes against Ecuador.
Recent Performance Analysis
Mexico disappointed their fans in their last Copa America match, suffering a defeat instead of the expected victory against Venezuela. This setback disrupted their smooth start in the group stage, leaving them behind Venezuela and Ecuador in the standings. Unlike Jamaica, Ecuador has historically struggled against Mexico. Moreover, Ecuador is on a two-match losing streak on the road. Therefore, we expect Mexico to find the breakthrough they need in the competition on Monday.
Mexico vs Ecuador: Team News and Predicted Lineups
Mexico Team News
Arturo Lozano’s change in formation affected their result in the last match as Mexico lost 1-0 to Venezuela, conceding a noteworthy penalty. Despite several chances in the attacking third with players like Quinones, Gimenez, and Antuna, they struggled to score, even against teams like Jamaica. Given this, we expect Lozano to start with a 4-3-3 formation on Monday.
Mexico Predicted Lineup (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Gonzalez
- Defenders: Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, Arteaga
- Midfielders: Rodriguez, Romo, Chavez
- Forwards: Antuna, Gimenez, Quinones
Ecuador Team News
Sanchez Bas Felix has experimented with three different formations in the last six games, settling on one for the last five matches, extending his unbeaten run to six games. With all players available, he is expected to maintain the same formation against Mexico.
Ecuador Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Alexander Dominguez
- Defenders: P Hincapie, Willian Pacho, Felix Torres, Angelo Preciado
- Midfielders: Joao Ortiz, Moises Caicedo, Jeremy Sarmiento, Kendry Paez, John Yeboah
- Forward: Enner Valencia
Mexico vs Ecuador Match Prediction
While Mexico has several advantages in their favor, they disappointed in their last match where they were heavily favored. However, they need a win from this game to advance, whereas a draw would be sufficient for Ecuador to qualify. Given Mexico’s strong historical performance against Ecuador, we anticipate them to win on Monday. However, we don’t expect a one-sided match as Ecuador has scored in all their matches this season. Additionally, Mexico has scored 7 goals in their last 3 wins against Ecuador. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 victory for Mexico. Betting on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score is also recommended based on their recent performances.
