France vs Poland Prediction: Expert Analysis and Match Preview
France will aim to get back to their winning ways on Tuesday, facing Poland in Dortmund in the third matchday of the series.
Les Bleus are determined to secure the top spot in Group D, while Poland has already been eliminated from the 2024 Euro after two consecutive defeats.
France vs Poland: Recent Performance and Key Stats
- France has not conceded in their last four consecutive matches.
- Poland scored five goals in their first two matches of the Euro.
- Les Bleus have won three out of their last four encounters with Poland, losing just once.
- Poland has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four matches across all competitions.
A goalless draw against the Netherlands secured France’s spot in the final 16. However, to clinch the top position in the group, they need to defeat Poland decisively. Both France and the Netherlands currently have four points from the first two rounds, making goal difference a potential tie-breaker.
Defensive Woes for Poland
Poland’s defensive vulnerabilities were evident in their 1-3 loss to Austria last week. Head coach Michal Probierz may struggle to motivate his players for the clash against France, given their early exit from the competition.
France Team News
All eyes will be on Kylian Mbappe, who participated in the scoreless draw against the Netherlands. A new Real Madrid star, who broke his nose in the first match against Austria, is forced to wear a protective mask. Despite his eagerness to play, Didier Deschamps is likely to rest Mbappe during the group stage to avoid further injury.
France Expected Starting Line-up (4-3-3 Formation)
Maignan – Kounde, Upamecano, Saliba, Hernandez – Tchouameni, Kante, Rabiot – Dembele, Thuram, Griezmann.
Poland Team News
Robert Lewandowski is expected to start, having come on as a substitute in the second half of the loss to Austria. Bartosz Salamon remains doubtful due to an ankle injury.
Poland Expected Starting Line-up (3-5-2 Formation)
Szczesny – Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Kiwior – Frankowski, Piotrowski, Slisz, Zalewski, Zielinski – Buksa, Lewandowski.
France Poised for a Decisive Victory
Given the disparity in quality between the two teams, a convincing win for France is anticipated. Poland, already out of contention and struggling defensively, faces a formidable French side determined to top the group. Poland has conceded five goals in their first two Euro matches and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four outings. Meanwhile, France has maintained clean sheets in their previous four matches, including two in the Euro.
Les Bleus have a strong record against Poland, with three wins out of their last four encounters, including a 3-1 victory in the round of 16 at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Betting on France to win by two goals or more at odds of 1.95 seems a safe bet.
Antoine Griezmann to Shine Against Poland
If Deschamps decides to rest Mbappe, placing a bet on Antoine Griezmann to score is advisable at odds of 2.87. Griezmann’s chances to find the back of the net increase significantly if Mbappe is benched. Even if Mbappe plays, Griezmann will have ample opportunities to exploit Poland’s shaky defense.
Griezmann missed crucial chances in Gameweek two against the Netherlands but is expected to get more scoring opportunities against Poland on Tuesday.